Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 3.851577 4.595629 5.424855 6.414598 7.560703 8.842951 10.382824
2025-08-24 2.778077 3.728872 4.898741 6.431970 8.374917 10.740324 13.821423
2025-08-31 2.127915 3.152950 4.521873 6.457192 9.091276 12.515463 17.260551
2025-09-07 1.664441 2.691237 4.164152 6.386118 9.597656 14.005299 20.429466
2025-09-14 1.276627 2.240734 3.718735 6.084664 9.694288 14.892561 22.811703
2025-09-21 1.049068 1.981891 3.498734 6.056065 10.143822 16.276816 25.974441
2025-09-28 0.872589 1.767156 3.304236 6.022757 10.556777 17.615309 29.154054
2025-10-05 0.798565 1.715773 3.366737 6.405507 11.654287 20.075771 34.218683
2025-10-12 0.708533 1.615232 3.324380 6.596009 12.442922 22.101160 38.745482
2025-10-19 0.643280 1.549712 3.332841 6.870751 13.391998 24.449942 43.951518
2025-10-26 0.557477 1.423683 3.205612 6.875240 13.857744 26.018617 47.973614
2025-11-02 0.461397 1.254376 2.965062 6.628668 13.834529 26.736195 50.596120
2025-11-09 0.380808 1.104698 2.744506 6.398977 13.830773 27.509690 53.419003
2025-11-16 0.330296 1.016748 2.642094 6.396010 14.259816 29.090939 57.777630
2025-11-23 0.288691 0.941850 2.556240 6.415089 14.730568 30.779726 62.441326
2025-11-30 0.247821 0.858706 2.436704 6.342662 15.003335 32.110018 66.528935
2025-12-07 0.201741 0.747998 2.230061 6.042527 14.763631 32.427610 68.730944
2025-12-14 0.175396 0.689681 2.145152 6.013956 15.100024 33.894838 73.213125
2025-12-21 0.152573 0.636213 2.063349 5.980810 15.420084 35.347605 77.753631
2025-12-28 0.147516 0.641597 2.143562 6.361197 16.708394 38.866029 86.581690
2026-01-04 0.136128 0.621659 2.148972 6.550532 17.572000 41.556650 93.903206
2026-01-11 0.128271 0.612683 2.184835 6.823601 18.655368 44.778653 102.480821
2026-01-18 0.113642 0.573441 2.123348 6.828063 19.096120 46.653858 108.397865